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Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 2:32 pm
by manju
Raj Malhotra wrote: ↑Mon May 14, 2018 11:16 am
BJP core aim is to remain in power. When 2002 riots took place, Modi was not powerful enough to stop RW running amok. Thereafter he broke the back of RW in Gujarat. Similarly he has broken the back of right wing in rest of India. The main plank on which elections will be fought in 2019 would be subsidies and unemployment Dole given to poor voters. BJP knows that it will not get minority votes, but it is hoping that its allies will get some minority votes and it will slowly move into centre stage in next 10-15 years. In the meanwhile Hindu voters will be given an Illusion of hindutva while their tax money will be used to fund minority schemes.
Troll alert
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 3:38 pm
by chadev
The dismal voting percentage in Bangalore is my worry. BJP will lose a lot of urban seats if their middle class voters don't come out to vote. BJP needs to find new ways to get them to vote. Also, what's happening with NRI being able to vote from overseas ? Surely, that should be one of BJP target for 2019.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 4:42 pm
by Dilbu
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 4:46 pm
by Dilbu
Sorry boys we don't throw in the towel this early. Let us wait till tomorrow.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 5:00 pm
by santosh
Common guys. 72-73% voting is not bad. Rural KT did come out in numbers which will make significant difference. Check Dr GP tweets, BJP will comfortably get majority.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 6:19 pm
by SSundar
santosh wrote: ↑Mon May 14, 2018 5:00 pm
Common guys. 72-73% voting is not bad. Rural KT did come out in numbers which will make significant difference. Check Dr GP tweets, BJP will comfortably get majority.
Isn't the conventional wisdom that rural votes go to Congress? Especially in KT, the rural folk are pleases with Siddhu's welfare schemes and have not been touched as much by Modi's schemes, right?
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 9:43 pm
by hanumadu
Free houses, gas connections, toilets, increased pension, crop insurance, health insurance, 24/7 electricity. Why won't rural people be touched by these? What are Siddaramiah's schemes anyway?
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Mon May 14, 2018 11:02 pm
by KL Dubey
Awright dawgs, just a few hourz to go.
FWIW, this bellwether seat (went to the winning side last 12 VS elections of KA) has a strong BJP lead according to Braveen Badil:
http://5forty3.in/chunavpedia/index.php ... nstituency
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 12:03 am
by Hari Seldon
Hoping for the best but somehow expecting Murphy's law to play out here only. Theek hai. Fingers crossed and all that.
P.S. x-posting fro the politics dhaga.
Rudradev wrote: ↑Mon May 14, 2018 8:24 pm
Karnataka is gone.
http://5forty3.in/gaze_articles.php?articalid=213
Dr. Praveen Patil predicts 91 seats to Bhajpa. 103 at the very maximum if ALL swing districts go their way. Which they won't.
Urban areas, especially Bangalore, saw a pathetic turnout of voters. Rural areas, where people were motivated to support Congress by Siddaramaiah's giveaways, showed far better turnout. Muslim-dominated constituencies featured 86-90% turnout! So the "overall 73%" turnout combined with horribly low voting in the cities spells certain doom.
The state will see a Congress govt propped up by JDS.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 1:54 am
by Gus
started?
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:40 am
by Primus
Postal ballots according to Times Now show Congress 17, BJP 4, JDS 3
Apparently usually the postal ballots go the way of BJP so this is troubling.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:48 am
by crams
Congoons putting up a tough fight, looks like exit polls predicting a close race proving correct so far. Congoons taking early lead
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:49 am
by Rudradev
Livemint: Cong leads in 17 seats. BJP in 7, JDS in 6.
This is headed for an INC sweep.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:54 am
by crams
RudraJI, I would discount that, they are all postal ballots and very few according to one expert on republic and he said this before counting began.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:56 am
by sgk19862004
CON 36
BJP 30
JDS 20
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:58 am
by Primus
BJP 50, Cong 48, JDS 14
JDS doing much better than I thought they would.
How can 113 of the total 222 results be out already, or is this just a trend?
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:59 am
by sgk19862004
CON 60
BJP 45
JDS 15
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:02 am
by sgk19862004
CON 41
BJP 41
JDS 22
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:02 am
by crams
BJP closing in
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:02 am
by Sachin
Primus wrote: ↑Tue May 15, 2018 2:58 am
How can 113 of the total 222 results be out already, or is this just a trend?
All the intellectual masturbation on TV is based on the trends. The final results would only start coming in by noon hours. The
ECI web site generally is slow, but gets the official results.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:03 am
by Primus
Everything is different on different channels.
Times Now: Cong 61, BJP 47, JDS 16
These are leads so far, I don't think any definite results have been announced. Still, worrisome for BJP. I don't care if there is a clear mandate for BJP or not, but I don't want Congress to beat them. Wishful thinking perhaps.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:05 am
by sgk19862004
CON 46
BJP 45
JDS 22
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:06 am
by hanumadu
Some might are postal ballots according to NDTV
NDTV is showing 53 to cong, 45 to BJP. Cong is pulling ahead. But even NDTV may be showing postal ballots.
The first round is only 18 leads so far. So hold on to your horses.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:08 am
by abhik
Request people posting leads to also add the source of information.
Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc
Posted: Tue May 15, 2018 3:09 am
by sgk19862004
Rediff
CON 54
BJP 47
JDS 25
