Election Discussions - National, State etc

News and Discussions about politics, current affairs, international relations, economy, elections, state level politics etc.
This forum is strictly moderated.
JohnTitor
BGR Member
Posts: 422
Joined: Sun Oct 01, 2017 4:09 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by JohnTitor » Tue May 15, 2018 5:49 am

BJP win notwithstanding, the fact remains that according to the ECI website, the vote share for INC and BJP are pretty much identical at 37.5%. in fact, BJP is at 37.4 while Inc is at 37.5

This is worrying because it means that most of the seat gains are due to the uneven distribution of Inc votes.

shynee
BGR Newbie
Posts: 45
Joined: Sat Nov 11, 2017 9:03 pm
Location: Hyderabad

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by shynee » Tue May 15, 2018 5:51 am

Sweet justice done to CBN too. That moron tried to polarize telugu voters against BJP. Modi and Shah should hung him dry.

Rupesh
BGR Newbie
Posts: 33
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 12:10 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Rupesh » Tue May 15, 2018 5:51 am

Even six month old All India Mahila Empowerment Party (MEP) headed by mysterious Nowhera Shaik got more votes than CPM.

hanumadu
BGR Oldie
Posts: 606
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 9:20 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by hanumadu » Tue May 15, 2018 5:55 am

JohnTitor wrote:
Tue May 15, 2018 5:49 am
BJP win notwithstanding, the fact remains that according to the ECI website, the vote share for INC and BJP are pretty much identical at 37.5%. in fact, BJP is at 37.4 while Inc is at 37.5

This is worrying because it means that most of the seat gains are due to the uneven distribution of Inc votes.
You are a hard man to please.

Sachin
BGR Oldie
Posts: 713
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 3:25 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Sachin » Tue May 15, 2018 5:56 am

Rupesh wrote:
Tue May 15, 2018 5:51 am
Even six month old All India Mahila Empowerment Party (MEP) headed by mysterious Nowhera Shaik got more votes than CPM.
Honestly at times being a CPI(M) member is more easier on life. Need to get tensed up only when the next elections happen in Kerala. Or in that case CPI is even better, need not get tensed at all :facepalm: . Anekal in Bangalore Rural Dt. has a CPI(M) candidate. 140 is the votes he have got.
Last edited by Sachin on Tue May 15, 2018 6:05 am, edited 1 time in total.

sgk19862004
BGR Newbie
Posts: 27
Joined: Thu Oct 05, 2017 7:12 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by sgk19862004 » Tue May 15, 2018 6:00 am

Now Congoons blame EVM's

abhijit
BGR Member
Posts: 292
Joined: Tue Oct 03, 2017 3:26 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by abhijit » Tue May 15, 2018 6:03 am

JohnTitor wrote:
Tue May 15, 2018 5:49 am
BJP win notwithstanding, the fact remains that according to the ECI website, the vote share for INC and BJP are pretty much identical at 37.5%. in fact, BJP is at 37.4 while Inc is at 37.5

This is worrying because it means that most of the seat gains are due to the uneven distribution of Inc votes.
High % of secular votes in concentrated area gives the false picture of overall % share.

Neela
BGR Newbie
Posts: 21
Joined: Tue Oct 03, 2017 5:09 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Neela » Tue May 15, 2018 6:04 am

United States of South India anyone?

suryag
BGR Newbie
Posts: 45
Joined: Mon Oct 09, 2017 4:49 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by suryag » Tue May 15, 2018 6:06 am

Seems to be getting tight for a simple majority

Hari Seldon
BGR Oldie
Posts: 570
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 1:01 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Hari Seldon » Tue May 15, 2018 6:07 am

Trends are swinging. BJP tally dropped just now from 119 to 114. Hopefully the final ECI formalized results will put BJP at 112+ ensuring no outside support needed.

la.khan
BGR Newbie
Posts: 84
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 1:48 am
Location: चौकिदार लखन

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by la.khan » Tue May 15, 2018 6:12 am

Neela wrote:
Tue May 15, 2018 6:04 am
United States of South India anyone?
As in Dravida Nadu? :twisted: :rotfl:

suryag
BGR Newbie
Posts: 45
Joined: Mon Oct 09, 2017 4:49 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by suryag » Tue May 15, 2018 6:15 am

who are the 2 others ?

Aditya_V
BGR Member
Posts: 344
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 7:26 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Aditya_V » Tue May 15, 2018 6:23 am

1 Independant and 1 BSP. Regarding number of votes,

1) South Karnataka is more Highly populated and here JDS and INC have been the traditional parties, so BJP is only making inroads here, so INC and JDS will have a high number of votes from these areas, INC is present even in North Karnataka. Take Devanhalli, INC and JDU race, here itself INC candidate will poll more than 1 Lakh- 1.5 Lakh votes more than the BJP candidate. So the 60 seats where the INC JDS fight is on INC would have 30-35 lac more votes, where there is BJP INC fight - INC candidates will poll less by 30-32 Lac votes, net INC might poll 2-2.5 Lakh more votes

2) Through Booth Management Mis management and locking up of Anti INC voter ID's in Bengaluru and highly populated areas have ensured a few INC victories to people like Harris.
Last edited by Aditya_V on Tue May 15, 2018 6:52 am, edited 1 time in total.

Dilbu
BGR Newbie
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed Oct 04, 2017 6:57 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Dilbu » Tue May 15, 2018 6:31 am

BJP will lose onlee :)) :)) :))

Hari Seldon
BGR Oldie
Posts: 570
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 1:01 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Hari Seldon » Tue May 15, 2018 6:36 am

From twitter:
he came. He Shah. He conquered.
Image

patni
BGR Newbie
Posts: 14
Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 5:23 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by patni » Tue May 15, 2018 6:43 am

Karnataka
Result Status
Status Known For 220 out of 224 Constituencies
Party Won Leading Total
Bahujan Samaj Party 0 1 1
Bharatiya Janata Party 1 112 113
Indian National Congress 0 65 65
Janata Dal (Secular) 0 40 40
Karnataka Pragnyavantha Janatha Party 0 1 1
Total 1 219 220


First declared win to BJP!!
Last Updated at 12:11 On 15/05/2018

abhijit
BGR Member
Posts: 292
Joined: Tue Oct 03, 2017 3:26 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by abhijit » Tue May 15, 2018 7:03 am

it is not over until fat lady sings.

madhub
BGR Newbie
Posts: 31
Joined: Wed Oct 04, 2017 5:30 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by madhub » Tue May 15, 2018 7:07 am

bjp 105
cong 74
jd 41

bjp coming down :)) :))

patni
BGR Newbie
Posts: 14
Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 5:23 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by patni » Tue May 15, 2018 7:12 am

Hmm drastic change in %Vote from 38% to bjp it switched to 38% to INC, with BJP shown down to 36.7%!

Party {Votes%,Vote Count}INC {38.1%,9111078}BJP {36.7%,8767364}JD(S) {17.6%,42125…IND {4.0%,953527}BSP {0.4%,96269}BPJP {0.3%,74086}AIMEP {0.3%,67711}CPM {0.3%,60019}KPJP {0.2%,59500}SWARAJ {0.2%,481…NOTA {0.9%,205169}

Last Updated at 12:38 On 15/05/2018

From http://eciresults.nic.in/PartyWiseResult.htm

chetak
Forum Moderator
Posts: 2039
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 5:08 am
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by chetak » Tue May 15, 2018 7:45 am

Mort Walker wrote:
Tue May 15, 2018 5:30 am
BJP 120 now. OK. Good night for now, I can get some rest tonight.
None of the channels are currently showing beyond 110 for the BJP.

turdesai is dreaming on TV about the formation of a non BJP govt with the help of the two "independents"

Lets hope that the BJP pushes ahead in the slog overs counting and surges well ahead of the 113 mark.

Aditya_V
BGR Member
Posts: 344
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 7:26 am

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Aditya_V » Tue May 15, 2018 8:06 am

Right now EC showing BJP at 106 and INC 74+JDS 39.

abhijit
BGR Member
Posts: 292
Joined: Tue Oct 03, 2017 3:26 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by abhijit » Tue May 15, 2018 8:07 am

Cong and JDS can easily pull a Goa/Manipur on BJP.

Indrad
BGR Oldie
Posts: 738
Joined: Sun Oct 01, 2017 6:37 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Indrad » Tue May 15, 2018 8:12 am

so far 222 seats declared

BJP 108 [48.2%
INC 73 [32.%6
JD(S) 38 [17%
Other parties 3 1[.3%

at nearly 50% vote share BJP is like a beast impossible to defeat, I am 100% sure this margin has not translated into big win cos of Guj reasons (first past the post).

BJP needs to woo some MLAs from independent & JDs it seems. It will certainly get first opportunity to form govt.

Sachin
BGR Oldie
Posts: 713
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 3:25 pm

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by Sachin » Tue May 15, 2018 8:20 am

abhijit wrote:Cong and JDS can easily pull a Goa/Manipur on BJP.
Sure it can, but the price the Congress needs to pay for this would be really huge. JD(S) can put up extremely irritating demands as it is the Congress fellows who is coming with the begging bowl. At least from what I have seen in the media, no Congress person has even mentioned about having a joint venture with JD(S). The BJP can also do a "Bihar" on this combination at the opportune time.
Indrad wrote:BJP needs to woo some MLAs from independent & JDs it seems. It will certainly get first opportunity to form govt.
There are also two bye-elections coming up. One of them is in a seat where the sitting BJP MLA died. Chances of that seat coming back to BJP is also high.
at nearly 50% vote share BJP is like a beast impossible to defeat, I am 100% sure this margin has not translated into big win cos of Guj reasons
The only way for "seculars" to fight this mammoth would be through strategic "thugbandhans". But "who would bell the cat?" is the question. Rahul Ghandi has once again shown that he by himself cannot win elections.

BTW, what is the uber secular "Kuch Bhi" Prakash Raj doing? Has the worthy opened his mouth?

chetak
Forum Moderator
Posts: 2039
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2017 5:08 am
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Election Discussions - National, State etc

Post by chetak » Tue May 15, 2018 8:24 am

abhijit wrote:
Tue May 15, 2018 8:07 am
Cong and JDS can easily pull a Goa/Manipur on BJP.

The elections for two seats are being held later.

Until that is done or a clear majority of 113 seats is achieved by a single party or a combination of willing parties, the govt cannot be formed yet from the results declared today.

The congis have already offered the CM gaddi to HDK in a bid to retain KAR state.

Lets wait for all the results to come in sometime later today as the clearest picture will emerge then.

Post Reply