Bharat Ganrajya

I am happy that BJP is making alliances, but the BJP needs to increase its own vote share and decrease it's reliance on allies. Today's allies are tomorrow's does. Nitish is a prime example, that snake will bite whenever he feels it'll help him, just as all the allies Yes sir, right away sir. Would...

The situation for NDA in south India (MH, GA, KA, KL, TG, AP, TN, and various UTs) seems to be dramatically improving. 70 seats from this region doesn't seem unrealistic at all now.

It looks like Amitji has done a great job of forming and handling alliances in BH, MH, and TN...and good decision to cut loose the TDP and AGP's sinking ships. Day by day the NDA is looking even more formidable than 2014. I wonder if there is any pre-poll plan with Jagan in AP ? UP seems very intere...

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/ind ... 017328.cms

Meanwhile in TN, it looks like the BJP-AIADMK-smaller parties alliance is ready, with the announcement to come soon according to the TOI guys.

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/maharashtra-seat-sharing-pact-bjp-to-contest-25-sena-23-seats-in-lok-sabha-polls/articleshow/68051670.cms BJP-Shivasena alliance sealed in MH,without any funny "big brother" conditions. Amitji's no-BS approach has been vindicated. He has called the bluff of...

Shorn of all the histrionics, mumbo jumbo and what have you, we need a quick read of the way the wind is blowing. That's the be all and end all of it. ........ Explanations, after the fact are simply odious. ^^^ My reply in a thousand words: https://wonderopolis.org/wp-content/uploads//2015/03/1425...

fanne wrote: ↑

Sat Feb 09, 2019 2:39 pm

It was not obvious to me that PP is in big data abalytics.

He is. Or is trying to, for as many elections as possible. Maybe he doesn't have enough funding to do this on the large scale that he wants to.

Gus wrote: ↑

Tue Feb 12, 2019 12:36 pm

vadra is daily going to ED. taking his mom as well this time..

With all the daily ED, Bob probably has nightly ED too...

Dr Praveen Patil @5Forty3 Feb 7 The general consensus among diverse section of hyperlocal intelligentsia is that BJP is currently stuck at 220 MP seats. About 5 years ago at this juncture, the consensus was stuck at 180 MPs for Modi, but actual voting pattern pushed the tally towards 280... and thi...

Dr Praveen Patil @5Forty3 Feb 7 The general consensus among diverse section of hyperlocal intelligentsia is that BJP is currently stuck at 220 MP seats. About 5 years ago at this juncture, the consensus was stuck at 180 MPs for Modi, but actual voting pattern pushed the tally towards 280... and thi...

So the VDP poll is the first one this year to have been done twice. In Jan, NDA 225 and in Feb, 242. Since they give no error analysis, it is not clear if it is significant in view of the vote share error margin. One has to wait for the next couple of months to see if there is a definite trend.

In KL they are predicting 20% for NDA. There is show meltdown of the Left. NDA is 15% 2014, 17% 2017 to 20% now. A few more cycles of elections and a few more goof-ups like Sabarimala it will take. That is what happened in WB where they are now predicting 8% for the Left (at their peak it was more ...

VDP is just another poll: "Numbaz from Nowheah".

Anyway, so far the poll range for Feb has been NDA 242-252.

Last month the range was NDA 225-233, not counting that Deccan Herald "poll" which was obviously a Congi supporting fraud.

In Feb 2014, the polls were at NDA 212-236.

I am going through a very tough time. We are a brahmin family.. My only child is 22 years just completed IIT. Now he is been mesmerized so much about Christianity and says he is a Christian I don't know the exact situation, so TFIFW. I had seen a similar case a few years back; through the boy's sis...

NaMo, Shah, Yogi, and Doval playing an excellent game. NaMo hammering the "S3V" (Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas) and "good work done" message in every speech, interaction, and rally....backed up by great budget, tax cut, lots of new schemes being implemented fast, GST relief, farmers relief, savarna quota....

^^^I agree regarding the outrageous sense of entitlement. In KL it seems a majority prefers Pappu as PM, which is a clear indicator of their intelligence and nationalism. I have not seen a state in which the entitlement level is higher than in KL. And then of course there are the so called BJP suppo...

^^^Agreed on all that. I am only tracking the poll results of 2019 versus 2014 to see the trends, and not concerned so much about the underlying reasons. Those can be debated for a long time. As far as I am concerned, this election will be a clear message to politicians in terms of whether this elec...

are you comparing times poll from Dec to times poll in Jan or two different agencies? With the same agency, at least the sampling method and model is consistent. With two different agencies - it is really apple vs oranges This agency did not do a LS 2019 poll earlier so I can't compare. For some of...

Hmmm...that Times Now poll is a significant uptick from the Dec-Jan polls, and even after the so-called MGB is projected at 51 seats in UP. I didn't expect an uptick so soon. Let us see what happens in Feb. All polls have vote share margin of error of 3% or more, so take them with lots of salt. http...

"Yogigiri" on full display at this latest interview:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIXisWHMqzQ

As the newest rhyme in UP goes...

Goonj rahe hain teen hi naam, yogi modi jai shri ram!

RIP. He shall be remembered for the right reasons.

take firstpost inputs with a bucket full of salt. It's ambani owned and has very strong anti govt views and plenty of contributors willing to spin the news per payment received. ambani is, as usual, playing both sides and he hopes to come out on top, no matter who wins. Take ALL election surveys wi...

One way to simplify these election predictions and avoid unnecessary discussions is indeed what NaMo suggests: hold LS and VS elections at the same time. The second and more fundamental way is to only allow National parties to contest Lok Sabha elections..with National parties as already defined by ...

The caveat is 53% won't vote for BJP. Caste and candidate will influence the vote. What was MMS approval before 2014? Look over the report. Actually the survey report asks that question on pp. 30-31...whether the persons who said they want NDA will still vote the same if the candidate is not BJP or...

OK guys...the "Firstpost National Trust Survey" is out: https://www.firstpost.com/india/firstpost-ipsos-national-trust-survey-india-trusts-modi-more-than-institutions-feels-development-will-trump-caste-in-ls-polls-5960411.html 1) NaMo is desired by 53% of the electorate as the PM, with Pappu a dista...