Search found 397 matches

by KL Dubey
Sun Jan 13, 2019 5:04 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

BGR folks on twitter: perhaps you can tweet various news channels and ask them to change their format of showing LS predictions. Instead of simply showing some seat numbers without any indication of how close the margins are or how the trends change, they should show a map of India (or individual st...
by KL Dubey
Sun Jan 13, 2019 3:18 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

It seems Pappu tried a NaMo-style "address to the diaspora" but got ripped apart by a teenager: https://postcard.news/deadly-dubai-congress-party-had-to-stop-the-live-telecast-of-rahul-gandhi-from-dubai-just-because-he-couldnt-answer-a-14-year-old-girls-tough-questions/ But the second question asked...
by KL Dubey
Sun Jan 13, 2019 3:06 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^This is at the residence of a fella named MA Yusuf Ali...owner of the "Lulu group" in KL and some businesses in UAE among other things. I am assuming Pappu has gone there for a donation, since this guy is a Congi supporter (was handed out a Padma Shri in 2008 by Pratibha tai).
by KL Dubey
Sun Jan 13, 2019 12:45 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Folks - Here are the links to keep up with all the opinion polls. Use these for context when you post. LS 2014: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2014_Indian_general_election LS 2019: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2019_Indian_general_election Current summ...
by KL Dubey
Mon Dec 31, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

I reiterate my request for a Quarantine/Whiners thread. Habitual trolls can be immediately restricted to posting only on that thread, as an first step before banning.
by KL Dubey
Sun Dec 30, 2018 2:15 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

FWIW...BJP is up to 100 seats in GJ assembly. An ex Congi MLA of some importance switched sides and won the resulting bypoll by a large margin of 20,000 votes.
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 25, 2018 3:52 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^^Going by previous and recent experiences, there is no point getting worried about surveys unless you are addicted to worrying and giving yourself stress. Essentially all that these surveys are good for is to estimate vote share with an error margin of about 3% at best. The seat predictions come a...
by KL Dubey
Fri Dec 21, 2018 9:48 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Overall the situation with NDA allies looks fairly solid as of now.... Things look stable in the Northeast (NEDA), PB (Akalis),and UP (Apna Dal). BH seems OK with JDU...and Paswan will likely remain on board after some negotiations. GA also seems OK. No dramatics yet from MGP et al. MH is the only s...
by KL Dubey
Fri Dec 21, 2018 9:21 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

RLSP in Bihar: last I heard it is headed for a split. Kushwaha and 1 other MP have joined the Congi alliance whereas the third MP is said to be behaving "independently". The 3 MLAs of the party in Bihar claim they are with NDA and will be applying to the EC to be recognized as the "real RLSP". All a...
by KL Dubey
Wed Dec 19, 2018 7:16 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

I’m not sure whether you are trolling or you genuinely don’t understand my point. Simply put, my point is that the voter does not think like people on this forum and some of things I have stated are things raised by people during my interactions with them. I am not justifying whether the points rai...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 18, 2018 11:17 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

This forum brings out the perfect reason as to why BJP has been losing ground, literally. Most here are well off or NRIs, both of whom wouldn't know what the voter is thinking because all of their opinion comes from GDP numbers and feel good tweets from BJP. They live in far away lands or AC rooms ...
by KL Dubey
Mon Dec 17, 2018 1:01 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

You need to realise that the congi ecosystem is playing mindgames and you are falling in that trap. While I must say the recent loss of three state goremints is a little more to swallow than a Congi mind-game, YES the key point is that most of these "fair weather" supporters are themselves of a ver...
by KL Dubey
Mon Dec 17, 2018 9:58 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Do you guys really know why BJP lost or are you reflecting your own biases and feelings onto BJP/NM/Voters instead of actually knowing what happened on the ground. The more I read BGR, the more it seems like whatever NM has done was silly and stupid and people will vote enmass to push ModiJi out as...
by KL Dubey
Thu Dec 13, 2018 7:53 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Seems like the thread has been possessed by the few who simply want to vent all their frustrations with Modi sarkar and to offer new prescriptions. I am not saying all your points are incorrect, but I guess you are aware that posting all your thoughts here will have zero impact on anybody in the gor...
by KL Dubey
Wed Dec 12, 2018 9:49 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

This forum is again veering off into BS topics that have no relation to the recent election result. You guys (you know who you are!) sound like old frustrated wives who rake up and nag over old issues. Wake up and stop your favorite broken record replay. We have heard the same thing many times alrea...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 8:24 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Yes DubeyJi, good analysis. Only minor nit-pick is whether Indian electorate who by and large are casteist and illiterate can really discern between local and national elections? Well, this election including the opinion/exit polls shows they are doing that. Several channels/agencies also did LS op...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 7:58 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Above all - and I am writing this separately from my other post - we should realize that NaMo is the central figure in the LS 2019. Without him the LS 2019 election would be the familiar "who will be the single largest party that can form coalition" type of scenery of Indian elections. He is the man...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 7:13 pm
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Here is my perspective: - I am sure there will be lots of analysis over the voting patterns of various groups, but I think in both MP and CG the results have been driven by local/state issues, not the Modi Sarkar. RJ is slightly different but again it is all about local issues. NaMo is hugely popula...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:28 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^Well, it is impossible to believe that the party CG election team could not predict a vote swing of -8% away from BJP and no change in Congi vote share! I don't know how the results will finally look like, but there is something seriously incomplete about the picture here.
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:15 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

hanumadu wrote:
Tue Dec 11, 2018 9:02 am
But the counting would be random, doesn't it? There would be multiple counting stations and votes all across the state would be counted in random order, won't they?
I believe it is not random, the EVMs are counted in some particular sequence.
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 8:54 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

Saar you seriously expect the lead of 44 sets 12% votes to be bridged? The fact that the vote share difference listed so far in CG is 12% means very few of the BJP polling booth EVMs have been counted. Vote share differences between BJP and INC are less than 1% usually. In 2013, at 2:30 PM BJP was ...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 8:12 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

BTW, the CG election is at a very early stage. Same thing happened in 2013. The BJP tally is rapidly increasing now.
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 7:02 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

^^+1008. No matter how many times you say it, some of the entitled "core voter" types will never get it. What they will do (by habit/compulsion/some other frustration issue) is to use every tactical defeat/setback to continue their grumbling and demands for "action". They will do absolutely nothing ...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 6:23 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

On the good news side: NDA is headed back to power in MZ, INC routed (< 10 seats as of now). NE is Congi-mukt as of today, assuming the current trends hold. The "unnatural couple" Pappu and Chandranna roundly thrashed in TG. Again the result is much above expectations for TRS. So KCR has kept these ...
by KL Dubey
Tue Dec 11, 2018 6:16 am
Forum: Archive
Topic: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )
Replies: 3128
Views: 4508956

Re: The Great Indian Political Drama - 3 (Oct 2018 - )

According to Zee News:

BJP has crossed majority in MP!

The gap between BJP and INC has reduced dramatically in RJ. Congis are now well below 100 and cannot form goremint on their own.

Let us see....need ta wait, dawgz.